The Rise of Agentic Apps: A New Software Market Segment

:sun: Dec 31, 2025 | :alarm_clock: 10 minute read | :pencil: Author: Cheng Fu, MuleRun CPO

TL;DR: AI is doing to software what 3D printing did to manufacturing: collapsing the tooling cost to near zero. This economic shift creates a new category of “agentic apps”—specialized tools built by domain experts for niche audiences that were previously economically irrational to serve. We are moving from a world of broad enterprise systems to one of micro-scale solutions. MuleRun provides the platform and infrastructure to bring these specialized apps to life.

When Print Farms Changed Manufacturing

A few years ago, something interesting happened in the 3D printing world. The technology matured to a point where consumer-grade printers became precise enough, reliable enough, and cheap enough that a new business model emerged: the print farm.

Before this shift, 3D printing was primarily a prototyping tool. You’d print a few iterations of your design, test the fit and feel, then send the validated model off to a traditional manufacturer for injection molding. The economics were straightforward: printing was for experimentation, molding was for production. A single injection mold could cost $ 5,000 to 50,000, but once you had it, each unit cost pennies. The break-even math favored molding as soon as you crossed a few hundred units.

But then the equation changed. Printers got better. Filaments got cheaper. Reliability improved. Suddenly, people realized they could skip the mold entirely for certain products. A small studio could set up 20 printers in a spare room, and produce finished goods directly. No mold. No minimum order quantity. No factory negotiation. The “tooling cost” became essentially zero, which meant that products with only dozens of buyers became economically viable to manufacture.

This is how we got print farms: rooms full of humming machines, each producing small batches of niche products: custom keyboard cases, specialized phone mounts, artisanal miniatures for tabletop games. Products that would never justify the economics of traditional manufacturing now had a path to existence.

The Software Parallel

I’ve been thinking about this because we’re witnessing the same structural shift in software development. And like most paradigm shifts, it’s happening in plain sight while everyone focuses on the wrong details.

The traditional software business model follows a familiar pattern. You identify a problem affecting enough people, you assemble a team of developers and designers, you build and maintain the product, and you hope that enough users convert to paying customers to cover your operational costs. The math is unforgiving: a typical micro-SaaS needs a founder plus perhaps a contractor or two, which means you’re looking at a minimum viable revenue somewhere in the range of $ 200,000 to 500,000 annually just to make it worthwhile. This translates to needing several hundred paying customers at typical SaaS price points.

This economic floor creates what I call the “market threshold problem.” Plenty of valuable software ideas exist that would serve only a few dozen users well: specialized tools for niche industries, automation for obscure workflows, utilities for specific professional contexts. But the development and maintenance costs make them economically irrational to build. The ideas die in the gap between conception and viability.

AI is collapsing this gap.

The New Math

Here’s what’s changed. Building software no longer requires writing software, at least not in the traditional sense. Tools like Lovable and Bolt.new allow someone with zero coding experience to describe what they want and receive a functional website. The skill required has shifted from “knowing how to code” to “knowing what problem you want to solve.”

This has profound implications for the economics. When your development cost drops from “a team working for six months” to “an afternoon with an AI assistant,” the revenue required to make a product viable drops proportionally. A tool serving 30 paying customers at $10 per month might now be a perfectly rational product to build and maintain.

Consider what this unlocks. The architect who built a spreadsheet to estimate construction costs can now turn it into a proper application with a user interface. The financial analyst with a clever model for portfolio rebalancing can package it as a service. The researcher who automated their literature review workflow can offer it to others in their field. None of these people would have founded a software company in the traditional sense. The overhead was too high, the learning curve too steep. But they can build an agentic app.

What Is an Agentic App?

I use “agentic app” deliberately. These applications typically combine traditional software interfaces with AI capabilities—processing documents, making decisions, adapting to context. They’re more than simple CRUD applications but less than full enterprise systems. They occupy a new middle ground that didn’t exist before because it wasn’t economically viable.

The agentic app has a particular character. It usually solves a deep, narrow problem rather than a shallow, broad one. It’s often built by someone who actually experiences the problem rather than a product manager who interviewed people who experience the problem. It tends to be highly specialized, trading wide appeal for genuine utility to a specific audience.

This is the print farm model applied to software. Zero tooling cost. No minimum viable scale. Products can exist for audiences that would have been too small to serve.

What This Means for MuleRun

At MuleRun, we recognized this structural shift early. Our thesis is straightforward: if a new market segment is emerging, someone needs to build the infrastructure for it. Just as Shopify made e-commerce accessible by handling payments and logistics, and just as YouTube made video distribution accessible by handling encoding and bandwidth, we believe the agentic app market needs a platform that handles the messy infrastructure work.

This is why we built a two-sided marketplace. On one side, creators who build these agentic apps need somewhere to distribute them, collect payments, and manage users. On the other side, users who want to access specialized AI tools need a place to discover them, try them, and integrate them into their workflows.

The marketplace model matters because neither side can thrive without the other. Creators won’t build if there’s no audience. Users won’t show up if there’s nothing to find. By bringing both sides together, we create the conditions for this new market segment to flourish.

Looking Forward

I’m convinced we’re in the early days of a significant market restructuring. The economics of software production have fundamentally changed, and the consequences will take years to fully manifest. Some traditional software companies will find their markets fragmented by dozens of specialized alternatives. Some individual creators will find sustainable income streams building tools for small but devoted audiences. Some problems that never had software solutions will finally get addressed because the threshold for viability has dropped low enough.

The 3D printing metaphor isn’t perfect - few analogies are. But the core insight translates well. When you dramatically reduce the fixed costs of production, you don’t just make existing products cheaper. You make entirely new categories of products possible. Products that serve ten people. Products that serve a hundred. Products that would never have been conceived, let alone built, under the old economics.

This is the promise of the agentic app era. Not replacing traditional software, but filling in the vast spaces where traditional software economics couldn’t reach. A long tail of solutions, each one serving its small audience well. A print farm, humming quietly, producing exactly what someone needs.

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Hi, author here :person_raising_hand:.
Comments/thoughts are welcomed!

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I completely agree

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中文版:


Agentic Apps 的崛起:一个全新的软件细分市场

:sun: Dec 31, 2025 | :alarm_clock: 5 minute read | :pencil: Author: Cheng Fu, MuleRun CPO

TL;DR: AI 对软件行业的改变,正如 3D 打印对制造业的改变——将“工具成本”压缩至近乎为零。这一经济变革催生了一类全新的 Agentic Apps:由领域专家为小众用户打造的专业工具,而这些需求过去因缺乏经济合理性而被长期忽视,如今终于迎来可实现的时代。我们正从“大而全的企业系统”时代,迈向“小而精的微解决方案”时代。MuleRun 正在搭建基础设施,让这些专业应用真正得到落地、运行和变现。

当「打印农场」改变制造业

几年前,3D 打印领域悄然发生了有趣的变化:消费级打印机的精度、可靠性与成本终于达到了临界点——一种新商业模式应运而生:打印农场(print farm)

在此之前,3D 打印仅是原型工具:你打印几版设计 → 测试手感 → 将定稿交给传统厂商开模量产。经济逻辑非常清晰:打印用于实验,注塑用于量产。一套模具动辄 $5,000–$50,000,但一旦完成,单件成本仅需几美分——销量几百件即可回本。

但后来,等式变了:打印机更可靠了,耗材更便宜了,故障率更低了。人们突然意识到:对某些产品,完全可以跳过模具。一个小团队在出租屋里摆 20 台打印机,就能直接生产成品——无需模具、无需起订量、无需工厂谈判,“工具成本”归零,这意味着仅服务几十人的产品,也具备了商业可行性。

于是,“打印农场”诞生了:房间里机器嗡鸣,每台都在为极小众需求生产——定制键帽、专用手机支架、桌游微缩模型……这些过去在传统制造逻辑下“根本不值得做”的产品,终于找到了存在路径。

软件领域的平行变革

我们正在软件开发中目睹一模一样的结构性变革——只是大多数人盯着技术细节,却忽略了底层迁移。

传统软件逻辑是:找到足够多的用户痛点→组建开发+设计团队→花几个月构建+维护→寄望数百用户付费覆盖成本。而现实很残酷:一个典型的微型 SaaS 至少需年收入 $20–50 万——这意味着数百付费用户,而大量真实需求,服务对象仅几十人:某个垂直行业的专用工具、某个冷门工作流的自动化脚本、某个专业场景的辅助应用——它们不是没价值,而是开发运维成本让其“经济失活”。创意,死在了“构想”与“可行”之间的鸿沟里。

但 AI 正在填平这条鸿沟

新经济模型:从“写代码”到“定义问题”

新的变化在于,构建软件不再需要写代码,像 Lovable、Bolt.new 这类工具,让零编程背景的人只需描述需求,即可获得可运行的产品。核心技能也发生了迁移:从 “我会写 Python/JS”,变为 “我清楚问题在哪、用户要什么”。

这对经济也带来了深远的影响:当开发成本从「团队干半年」变成「只需一个下午 + AI 助手」,产品存活所需的收入也同比下降——服务 30 位用户、月费 $10,已足够支撑一个可持续项目。

同时,这也带来了很多可能性。例如,对于建筑师而言,他们可以将成本估算表格封装成专业 App,对于金融分析师而言,他们可以将资产再平衡模型变成订阅服务,对于科研人员而言,他们可以将文献综述脚本输出给同行使用。他们过去不会创业——门槛太高、运维太重。但现在,他们能构建 Agentic App了

什么是 Agentic App?

我使用 Agentic App 这个词,是因为它既非简单增删改查(CRUD)工具,也非庞大企业系统,而是介于两者之间的新物种。它们融合了传统 UI 与 AI 能力(文档处理、决策生成、上下文适应);解决深而窄的问题,而非泛而浅的通用需求;由使用者亲自构建,而非“访谈用户后设计”的产品经理;以真实效用替代用户规模,服务特定群体到极致。

这就是软件世界的「打印农场」:工具成本趋零、无最小可行规模、以及为“太小众而被放弃”的需求提供了存在的理由。

这对 MuleRun 意味着什么?

在 MuleRun,我们很早意识到了这一迁移。我们的信念很朴素:如果一个新市场正在形成,就需要有人搭建基础设施。就像 Shopify 为电商托管支付和物流,YouTube 为视频处理编码+带宽,MuleRun 为 Agentic App 提供复杂的基础设施。

因此我们构建了一个双边平台:一端是构建者:他们需要发布、收款、用户管理的一站式支持;另一端是消费者者:他们希望发现、试用、集成专业 AI 工具。

市场机制至关重要:没有用户,创作者不愿构建;没有工具,用户不会来;唯有双边共振,新生态才能自运转

展望未来

我们确信,我们正处于一场深刻市场重构的早期:传统软件公司将面临「成百上千个垂直替代者」的碎片化冲击、个体创作者将靠服务“几十人高黏性群体”获得可持续收入、大量“从未有解”的问题,将因经济门槛降低而首次被软件覆盖

3D 打印的类比不完美——但核心洞见成立:当固定成本大幅下降,不仅让旧产品变便宜,更创造出全新类别的产品——服务 10 人、100 人的产品,过去连“构想”都显得荒谬,如今却真实可建。

这就是 Agentic App 时代的承诺:不是取代传统软件,而是填补它因经济逻辑无法抵达的广阔空白。一条长尾,万千微光;一座安静运转的“软件打印农场”,正为世界生产“恰好所需”的答案。

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In the past, getting something done as an individual usually meant juggling multiple roles, pushing through heavy processes, and absorbing costs that never felt fair. Ideas were easy. Execution was not.

Agentic apps quietly rewrite that equation. Capability flows downward. The barrier thins out.

Individuals gain access to a level of leverage that once belonged only to teams, and ideas that used to live safely in the abstract can now step into the real world with surprising ease.

This shift resists neat labels. It lightens the weight of action. It makes experimentation survivable. It places individuals and small teams at the starting line.

An age of exploration for individuals and small teams has arrived!

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